Chapter 6. Forecasting your company’s monthly power usage

 

This chapter covers

  • Preparing your data for time-series analysis
  • Visualizing data in your Jupyter notebook
  • Using a neural network to generate forecasts
  • Using DeepAR to forecast power consumption

Kiara works for a retail chain that has 48 locations around the country. She is an engineer, and every month her boss asks her how much energy they will consume in the next month. Kiara follows the procedure taught to her by the previous engineer in her role: she looks at how much energy they consumed in the same month last year, weights it by the number of locations they have gained or lost, and provides that number to her boss. Her boss sends this estimate to the facilities management teams to help plan their activities and then to Finance to forecast expenditure. The problem is that Kiara’s estimates are always wrong—sometimes by a lot.

As an engineer, she reckons there must be a better way to approach this problem. In this chapter, you’ll use SageMaker to help Kiara produce better estimates of her company’s upcoming power consumption.

6.1. What are you making decisions about?

 
 

6.2. Loading the Jupyter notebook for working with time-series data

 
 
 

6.3. Preparing the dataset: Charting time-series data

 
 
 

6.4. What is a neural network?

 
 

6.5. Getting ready to build the model

 
 
 

6.6. Building the model

 
 

6.7. Deleting the endpoint and shutting down your notebook instance

 
 

6.8. Checking to make sure the endpoint is deleted

 
 

Summary

 
 
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