CPI-U measures average consumer prices paid by urban households in the United States. The CPI-U All Items, Not Seasonally Adjusted series is identified in FRED as CPIAUCNS. section 5.7
Use CPI-U data to construct annual inflation inputs:
- Feed the resulting inflation series into a mean-reverting AR(1) model for Monte Carlo wealth simulations. section 5.7
Recent year-over-year observations
The annual inflation rate rose from 1.4% at the end of 2020 to 7.0% in 2021, fell to 6.5% in 2022, and reached 3.5% in 2023. section 5.7
