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Disproportionate outcome

As explained in Effective Data Analysis

A disproportionate outcome is an unequal consequence or service result experienced by different subgroups of people affected by a decision system.

A disproportionate outcome occurs when an automated system delivers unequal consequences or service quality to different subgroups. Unequal benefits can appear even when automation improves overall efficiency. section 8.2.2

Assess disproportionate outcomes by asking who receives different consequences and why:

  • Customer-support automation may provide lower-quality service to new customers or international, non-English-speaking customers. section 8.2.2
  • Hiring systems may rank some candidate groups as less qualified, affecting interviews, employment, income, and career trajectories. section 8.2.2
  • Rules-based systems and deep-learning models can both produce harmful disparities; sophistication does not remove the risk. section 8.2.2

Customer-support categorization

An automated categorization system reduces repetitive work and frees support staff for higher-value tasks, but lower accuracy for new and international customers can reduce the service they receive. The unequal service result is a disproportionate outcome. section 8.2.2

Figure 8.5 The categorization system developed by the data science and analytics team can streamline the work of the customer support team. Still, it may have an unanticipated negative effect on certain groups of customers.
figure

Use the figure to connect workflow efficiency with an unanticipated negative effect on particular customer groups. section 8.2.2

How Effective Data Analysis covers it

How deep it goes
Distinguishes disproportionate outcomes from disproportionate accuracy rates but stops short of defining quantitative measurement methods.
Examples
Uses customer-support categorization and candidate qualification ranking to illustrate unequal service and employment consequences.
What you can do after
Evaluate automated decisions for unequal subgroup consequences and recognize when efficiency gains may conceal harm.
How it connects
Connects automated systems with algorithmic bias, accuracy disparities, stakeholder decisions, and high-stakes decisions.

This explainer was generated by Manning's knowledge graph from the text of Effective Data Analysis. The section links point to the parts of the book it draws on.