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Inverse scaling

As explained in Sutskever's List

A phenomenon in which performance on a task temporarily worsens as model scale increases.

Inverse scaling occurs when performance on some benchmarks worsens as models grow, at least temporarily. Task curves can zigzag, plateau, decline, and later climb, rather than improving steadily with scale. section 6.2.1 section 6.2

One possible cause is that larger models latch onto spurious patterns more confidently. Further scaling, better data, or refined training may bring recovery. This contrasts with training loss, which scaling laws predict more reliably than downstream task performance. section 6.2.1 section 6.2

How Sutskever's List covers it

How deep it goes
Describes possible spurious-pattern effects and recovery factors, without specifying a universal mechanism.
Examples
Contrasts predictable training-loss trends with benchmark curves that plateau, decline, or rise after a delay.
What you can do after
Evaluate scaling claims by separating predictable training-loss trends from task-level performance.
How it connects
Connects scaling laws and training loss to less predictable downstream performance.

Related concepts

This explainer was generated by Manning's knowledge graph from the text of Sutskever's List. The section links point to the parts of the book it draws on.