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Detailed outcome model

As explained in Effective Conversational AI

A detailed outcome model is a hierarchical categorization of conversational results, reasons, and higher-level success or failure categories.

A detailed outcome model categorizes how chatbot conversations end, then groups specific reasons under higher-level outcomes such as success, failure, or not wanted. Unlike containment alone, it helps show what went right or wrong and where improvement may be needed. section 3.3.2

A transfer is not always a failure

A user may leave because the bot repeatedly fails to understand them, or may be transferred to a human as part of the intended business process. Classifying these outcomes separately distinguishes a failure from a successful handoff. section 3.3.2

After deployment, classify conversation logs against the model and count outcomes. Tailor the categories to the project, then use detailed breakdowns to investigate performance and guide improvements. section 3.3.2

Figure 3.11 The detailed outcome model depicts conversation outcomes and outcome details aggregated over a set time period. This provides much greater insight into bot performance than a binary “contained or not contained” model.
figure

See how detailed outcomes aggregated over time provide more insight than a contained-or-not-contained count. section 3.3.2

How Effective Conversational AI covers it

How deep it goes
Defines a hierarchy from containment through detailed reasons to success, failure, and not-wanted categories, while leaving categories project-specific.
Examples
Contrasts user opt-outs and repeated misunderstandings with transfers required by the business process.
What you can do after
Evaluate performance by classifying conversation logs and tracing detailed outcomes to identify improvement areas.
How it connects
Links containment, conversation logs, business metrics, and conversation design to outcome classification.

Related concepts

This explainer was generated by Manning's knowledge graph from the text of Effective Conversational AI. The section links point to the parts of the book it draws on.