The FWL strategy estimates a treatment effect by removing the confounder-predicted components from both treatment and outcome, then regressing the two residuals on each other. section 8.1.1
A practical workflow is:
- Predict the outcome from the confounder and retain its residuals. section 8.1.1
- Predict the treatment from the confounder and retain its residuals. section 8.1.1
- Regress outcome residuals on treatment residuals; the coefficient matches linear regression controlling for the confounder, apart from rounding. section 8.1.1
Synthetic treatment-effect data
With a simulated treatment effect of 5, the adjusted regression estimates 4.9473069, while the FWL residual regression estimates 4.947307. section 8.1.1
