Maximum likelihood estimation supports logistic regression by producing probabilities between 0 and 1 for binary outcomes. It expresses those probabilities through log odds: log[p(X)/(1 − p(X))] = B0 + B1X1. section 14.6.2
A practical modeling workflow uses maximum likelihood estimation to:
- Fit a binary playoff model with base R glm(), using family = "binomial". section 14.6.2
Predicting postseason qualification
A logistic model predicts whether an NBA team qualifies for the postseason from z_o_pts. The fitted model achieves McFadden pseudo-R2 of 0.31, sensitivity of 0.80, specificity of 0.63, and accuracy of 0.7375.



