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Negative correlation

As explained in Grokking Statistics

A negative correlation is a relationship in which higher values of one variable tend to occur with proportionally lower values of another.

Negative correlation describes an inverse relationship: as one variable increases, the other tends to decrease. This differs from no correlation, where the variables show no suggestive relationship. section 7.1

Read the direction and strength together:

  • A Pearson correlation ranges from -1 to 1. Values closer to -1 indicate increasingly strong negative linear correlation; values near 0 indicate little or no linear correlation. section 7.2
  • A moderately negative value may be near -0.5. Stronger relationships place the data points more closely along a line. section 7.2
  • Correlation can suggest a relationship, but it does not establish causation. A coincidental relationship can appear even when common sense gives no causal explanation. section 7.1

A quick everyday test

Hours spent on social media may negatively correlate with a happiness score: more social media time tends to accompany less happiness. By contrast, sleep and next-day rainfall should not be treated as meaningfully related merely because a small dataset happens to show an upward or downward pattern. section 7.1

Figure 7.3 Different Pearson correlation values with different datasets. Note how a strong positive correlation (close to 1) or negative correlation (close to -1) has data that more closely resembles a line.

Compare scatterplots across correlation values; strong negative relationships show points clustering around a downward-sloping line. section 7.2

How Grokking Statistics covers it

How deep it goes
Defines direction and strength, visualizes linear patterns, and introduces Pearson calculation without deriving the statistic formally.
Examples
Uses social media and happiness, sleep and rainfall, scatterplots, and temperature-versus-sports-drink-sales data.
What it assumes
Assumes two measured variables and introduces positive, negative, and absent relationships through everyday examples.
What you can do after
Evaluate inverse patterns with Pearson correlation and interpret their strength without treating association as causation.
How it connects
Connects negative correlation with Pearson correlation, p-values, hypothesis testing, causation, and nonlinear relationships.

Related concepts

This explainer was generated by Manning's knowledge graph from the text of Grokking Statistics. The section links point to the parts of the book it draws on.