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Structured trend analysis

As explained in Investing for Programmers

Structured trend analysis is a systematic technique for extracting investable insights by measuring developments over time.

Structured trend analysis extracts investable insights by measuring developments over time instead of relying on heated debates or persuasive opinions. It uses nonfinancial data alongside market information, with relevance varying by sector and industry. section 11.1

A practical workflow asks measurable questions:

  • How many new nuclear power plants are being built? section 11.1
  • How many papers discuss nuclear energy, and what do they indicate about future data-center energy demand? section 11.1
  • How do publicly traded nuclear-energy companies’ prices change? section 11.1
  • Can the collected indicators become factors in an investment algorithm? section 11.1

Nuclear-energy trend investigation

Replace arguments between opponents and proponents with counts of new plants, research activity, projected energy demand, and share-price movements. Compare these signals before adding them as algorithmic factors. section 11.1

Figure 11.1 Three types of data flow can lead to insights, and nonfinancial data, being the newest of them, is especially interesting.
figure

Use the figure to situate nonfinancial data among the data flows that can produce investment insights. section 11.1

How Investing for Programmers covers it

How deep it goes
Defines a question-driven collection process but stops short of specifying statistical methods, code, or factor validation.
Examples
Uses nuclear-plant construction, research papers, data-center energy demand, and nuclear-company prices as indicators.
What you can do after
Apply it by collecting sector-relevant indicators and adding them as factors to investment algorithms.
How it connects
Connects nonfinancial data with financial data, sector analysis, social media analysis, and algorithmic trading.

Related concepts

This explainer was generated by Manning's knowledge graph from the text of Investing for Programmers. The section links point to the parts of the book it draws on.