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Tweedie distribution

As explained in Machine Learning System Design

A family of exponential-dispersion probability distributions that includes several continuous, discrete, and compound Poisson-gamma cases.

The Tweedie distribution is a family of probability distributions used as a candidate loss for count data. It is especially useful when outcomes may be zero yet otherwise continuous. section 5.3.1

The family includes:

  • Continuous normal, gamma, and inverse Gaussian distributions. section 5.3.1
  • The purely discrete scaled Poisson distribution. section 5.3.1
  • Compound Poisson–gamma distributions, with positive mass at zero and continuous positive values otherwise. section 5.3.1

Retail forecasting

Treat Tweedie loss as a second-line experiment alongside quantile losses when modeling count data for retail decisions. section 5.3.1

How Machine Learning System Design covers it

How deep it goes
Defines the family through its distributional members and zero-continuous behavior without deriving its mathematics.
Examples
Uses normal, gamma, inverse Gaussian, scaled Poisson, and compound Poisson–gamma distributions as family cases.
How it connects
Connects probability distributions with loss functions, count data, quantile loss, and compound Poisson–gamma models.

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