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Baseline

As explained in Data-Driven Cybersecurity

A baseline is a reference characterization of expected system or user behavior against which deviations are evaluated.

A baseline characterizes expected system or user behavior so security teams can recognize meaningful deviations and evaluate improvement. section 8.4.1 section 11.1.1

Build a useful baseline through a recurring measurement cycle:

  • Collect sufficient historical data, such as six months of throughput or other maintained logs. section 8.4.1
  • Analyze behavior with weekly percentiles, means, standard deviations, positivity rates, or log-scale slopes. section 8.4.1
  • Set investigation thresholds, such as mean plus two standard deviations, then review false positives and adjust them. section 8.4.1
  • Compare current performance with the baseline to assess whether security measures improved results. section 11.1.1

Patching and threat detection

A team records how often patching finishes on time and how many vulnerabilities it identifies. After deploying a new intrusion detection system, it compares detection rates with historical performance to test whether the change improved outcomes. section 11.1.1

How Data-Driven Cybersecurity covers it

How deep it goes
Explains data collection, statistical comparison, thresholds, and review, while deferring deeper statistical and AI analysis.
Examples
Uses throughput logs, failed-password alerts, patching timeliness, vulnerability counts, phishing trends, and intrusion-detection rates.
What it assumes
Assumes access to maintained logs or historical metrics while introducing baseline construction through practical security examples.
What you can do after
Apply statistical comparisons and thresholds to identify deviations, evaluate controls, and refine security monitoring.
How it connects
Connects baseline with anomaly detection, statistical analysis, thresholding, benchmarking, trend analysis, and continuous improvement.

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This explainer was generated by Manning's knowledge graph from the text of Data-Driven Cybersecurity. The section links point to the parts of the book it draws on.