A regression coefficient measures how a predictor contributes to a predicted response within a fitted linear equation. Each coefficient multiplies one predictor while the other terms remain in the equation. section 5.7.3
In the NBA wins model, the coefficients show how predicted wins change with hustle statistics:
- Deflections has a coefficient of 2.23, so each additional average deflection contributes 2.23 predicted wins. section 5.7.3
- Loose balls recovered has a coefficient of 5.38, while contested shots has a negative coefficient of -0.24. section 5.7.3
- Coefficients with p-values at or below 0.05 are treated as statistically significant influences on wins. section 5.7.3
Predicting Miami’s wins
Substituting Miami’s 2016–17 hustle statistics into the fitted equation produces 39 predicted wins, compared with 41 actual wins. Increasing loose balls recovered from 7.2 to 8.2 changes the rounded prediction to 44 wins.




