Categorical distribution filtering removes outcomes that conflict with new evidence and adjusts the remaining distribution proportionally. The operation preserves relative weights while discarding an unwanted category or set of possibilities. section 13.3 section 12.13
Filtering becomes especially useful when reasoning from observed effects back to possible causes:
- Construct a joint distribution containing every relevant pair of possibilities. section 13.3
- Keep only joint outcomes matching the observation. section 13.3
- Project away the observed component to obtain the remaining distribution. section 13.3
Filtering sneezing outcomes
A prior assigns weights 90 and 10 to not having and having a cold. Combining it with a sneezing likelihood, filtering the joint distribution to the Yes observation, and projecting the cold status produces weights No:27 and Yes:86. These retain the observed ratio of 270 to 860, equivalent to 270/1,130 and 860/1,130 after normalization. section 13.3
































