Moore’s Law is the observation that computing power tends to double approximately every two years. It has helped motivate predictions about rapidly advancing computers, but increasing power does not automatically produce intelligence. section 9.3
Why the pattern attracts bold predictions
Computers defeating chess champions can make continued hardware progress seem like a path toward human-level abilities. That inference remains limited: machines execute human-coded instructions, while human intelligence involves biological, psychological, and neurological complexity. section 9.3
Treat Moore’s Law as a useful trend with important constraints:
- Transistor density is approaching physical limits on microchips. section 9.3
- Heat dissipation becomes difficult as devices grow highly compact. section 9.3
- Faster, smaller, and cheaper computers still do not equal more sophisticated intelligence. section 9.3
