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Receiver operating characteristic

As explained in Financial AI in Practice

A curve that plots a classifier’s true positive rate against its false positive rate across decision thresholds.

In credit risk, a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve plots a binary classifier’s true positive rate against its false positive rate across every decision cutoff. It shows the tradeoff between catching defaulting borrowers and falsely flagging nondefaulting borrowers. The area under this curve (AUC) summarizes performance across cutoffs, but does not account for the unequal financial costs of these errors. section 4.4.1

Credit cutoff

A lender might reject applicants below a credit score of 650. The ROC curve evaluates the model across that cutoff and others, rather than judging it at 650 alone. section 4.4.1

How Financial AI in Practice covers it

How deep it goes
Defines the curve using true- and false-positive rates across cutoffs, then distinguishes it from AUC and notes its cost limitation.
Examples
Illustrates defaults versus nondefaults and a hypothetical rejection cutoff of 650.
What you can do after
Evaluate a credit model’s discrimination across cutoffs and compare ranking power before applying business rules.
How it connects
Connects ROC curves to AUC and binary classification in credit risk.

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This explainer was generated by Manning's knowledge graph from the text of Financial AI in Practice. The section links point to the parts of the book it draws on.