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Uncertainty

As explained in Knowledge Graphs and LLMs in Action

Uncertainty is the lack of complete confidence that information, statements, or conclusions are true or precise.

Uncertainty is incomplete confidence that information, statements, or conclusions are true or precise. In intelligent-system reasoning, it arises when inputs are inaccurate, ambiguous, incomplete, or insufficient for a definitive conclusion. section 2.4 section 2.5.3

Reasoning systems address uncertainty in complementary ways:

  • Deductive reasoning requires correct premises and explicit rules, so uncertain or missing information can block a logical conclusion. section 2.4
  • Inductive reasoning generalizes from labeled examples, enabling predictions for unseen cases rather than only memorized matches. section 2.4
  • LLMs use probabilistic reasoning to weigh possibilities and recommend priorities when information is ambiguous or incomplete. section 2.5.3

Ambiguous medical symptoms

A patient’s nonspecific symptoms and incomplete records may support several diagnoses. An LLM can evaluate multiple possibilities and suggest a prioritized diagnostic approach instead of asserting one definitive answer. section 2.5.3

How Knowledge Graphs and LLMs in Action covers it

How deep it goes
Contrasts deductive, inductive, and probabilistic reasoning, but does not formalize uncertainty mathematically.
Examples
Uses spam filtering and ambiguous medical diagnosis to illustrate generalization, missing information, and probabilistic recommendations.
What it assumes
Assumes familiarity with reasoning inputs, knowledge bases, premises, and conclusions.
What you can do after
Evaluate/understand how reasoning strategies handle incomplete, ambiguous, or unreliable information.
How it connects
Connects uncertainty with reasoning, deductive reasoning, inductive reasoning, large language models, and knowledge graphs.

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Related concepts

This explainer was generated by Manning's knowledge graph from the text of Knowledge Graphs and LLMs in Action. The section links point to the parts of the book it draws on.