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Probability distribution

As explained in Sutskever's List

The probability distribution of examples and patterns from which a model learns during training.

A training distribution is the collection of examples and patterns a model learns from. A language model encounters the world indirectly through human-written text, so its capabilities are shaped by what that text frequently describes—and limited by what it rarely or never represents. section 6.2.1

Uneven capabilities

A model might handle multidigit arithmetic up to a certain number of digits but fail at the next, or generate a color-changing American flag website but not a cake that plays “Happy Birthday.” Similar-looking tasks can differ because their patterns are represented differently in training data. section 6.2.1

Figure 6.4 A model will learn some tasks more easily than others. Easy tasks are frequent with dense data, while hard tasks are infrequent with sparse data.
figure

The figure contrasts tasks supported by frequent, dense examples with those supported by infrequent, sparse examples. section 6.2.1

How Sutskever's List covers it

How deep it goes
Traces data frequency to performance differences through examples, without formalizing the distribution mathematically.
Examples
Contrasts arithmetic limits, context-length failures, uneven reasoning, and two website-generation tasks.
What you can do after
Evaluate model behavior by considering how well relevant patterns are represented in training data.
How it connects
Connects training distributions with pretraining, next-token prediction, model evaluation, and inverse scaling.

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This explainer was generated by Manning's knowledge graph from the text of Sutskever's List. The section links point to the parts of the book it draws on.